Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.204921 0.237879 0.274475 0.318136 0.368826 0.425849 0.494908
2025-05-11 0.152059 0.195761 0.249523 0.320580 0.412144 0.526335 0.679854
2025-05-18 0.122252 0.168873 0.230372 0.317544 0.438177 0.599621 0.832815
2025-05-25 0.099986 0.146259 0.210864 0.307812 0.450011 0.651614 0.960429
2025-06-01 0.088478 0.136024 0.205758 0.315722 0.485393 0.738338 1.146173
2025-06-08 0.077813 0.125049 0.197439 0.316762 0.509397 0.809770 1.316832
2025-06-15 0.070212 0.117490 0.192910 0.322360 0.540177 0.894074 1.517162
2025-06-22 0.061506 0.106821 0.181823 0.315445 0.549023 0.943188 1.664661
2025-06-29 0.054944 0.098801 0.173938 0.312556 0.563687 1.002809 1.836428
2025-07-06 0.050123 0.093140 0.169278 0.314456 0.586513 1.078502 2.045320
2025-07-13 0.047835 0.091722 0.171859 0.329562 0.634817 1.204921 2.362999
2025-07-20 0.045217 0.089328 0.172293 0.340543 0.676408 1.323234 2.679342
2025-07-27 0.042484 0.086470 0.171685 0.349778 0.716436 1.444628 3.020497
2025-08-03 0.039239 0.082208 0.167880 0.352231 0.743329 1.543627 3.329771
2025-08-10 0.035784 0.077071 0.161679 0.348900 0.757646 1.618344 3.596905
2025-08-17 0.032049 0.070874 0.152554 0.338196 0.754790 1.656409 3.788627
2025-08-24 0.030414 0.069028 0.152387 0.346896 0.795356 1.792509 4.217444
2025-08-31 0.028317 0.065892 0.149044 0.348040 0.818939 1.893551 4.578111
2025-09-07 0.026796 0.063885 0.147964 0.354197 0.854749 2.026329 5.030947
2025-09-14 0.024457 0.059678 0.141387 0.346591 0.856893 2.080644 5.299067
2025-09-21 0.022638 0.056507 0.136873 0.343414 0.869392 2.161067 5.642928
2025-09-28 0.021305 0.054375 0.134601 0.345503 0.895257 2.277188 6.093697
2025-10-05 0.020896 0.054523 0.137911 0.362118 0.960268 2.499167 6.852965